TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over57c50,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,499.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under43c24,000$10,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3203046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over58c19,601$11,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,232.561681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c16,000$9,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,88041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under43c13,589$5,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,843.4712146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under42c10,658$4,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f8…4de0backed Under43c8,003$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under43c7,456$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.1628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over58c6,034$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x525b…c7c7backed Under43c3,825$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c3,017$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under43c2,525$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.9261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c2,148$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.022951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under8c2,065$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.52,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over68c2,008$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under35c2,000$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.491291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over72c1,871$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.95955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over61c1,815$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.6589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over70c1,778$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under43c1,766$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over45c1,758$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.7758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c1,616$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over63c1,407$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over57c1,379$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.671,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over69c1,322$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.4211949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Over57c1,192$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under43c1,120$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.586847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under41c1,120$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under42c1,040$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d231backed Over58c972.88$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c946.91$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1714653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under44c940.47$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.13228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over47c900$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.318046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Over56c898.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.732263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over50c825.66$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.391478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c814$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over62c746.1$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8919844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7511245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over57c700$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick66cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under30c690.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.524946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over71c617.83$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.578469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under47c593.93$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Over57c579.74$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under50c568$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.341942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3225449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c523.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under43c501$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4342948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ff…4ce9backed Over64c449.04$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Over57c448$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over57c438.56$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.594761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c431.54$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c429.42$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.571,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over58c423.72$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over56c375.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under43c355.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0710346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under39c303.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.573429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under43c302.09$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.97149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc7…7275backed Over58c293.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over58c292.74$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9511154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over70c289.61$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c287.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…a56ebacked Over57c275.56$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6224749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33be…d379backed Over57c257.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.891650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under43c257.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.362254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under43c254.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.55261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c224.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.261631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over71c223$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.84351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under39c219.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over58c212.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.321752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over47c211.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over57c210.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.733666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed Over58c187.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over66c187$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.925240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Under43c185.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Under55c181.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Over55c181.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under22c179.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under47c179.11$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.412147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdc…be3bbacked Under42c176.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Over57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a8…4287backed Over46c173.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under50c169.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6834547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c167.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2513841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over59c154$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under43c152$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.361060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d6…da4cbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Over58c141.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.