NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b32bdef1a99f7d54090a25c3a3a6237766a71ee0d5cbeb5998fca0dca192e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 74c | 40,954$30,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,695.85 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 26c | 24,566$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.75 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 27c | 8,873$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.15 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 7,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 28c | 4,831$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.53 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 72c | 3,409$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.96 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 71c | 2,416$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.63 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 73c | 1,038$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.19 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 75c | 999$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 16c | 882.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 24c | 747.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 75c | 602.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 73c | 561.64$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 77c | 515.29$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 25c | 458.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 29c | 445.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 21c | 434.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 24c | 402.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 74c | 390.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…0419backed Over | 30c | 334.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 321$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Over | 17c | 290.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 25c | 276.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 72c | 274.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 26c | 261.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 74c | 215.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 30c | 205$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 72c | 201.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 26c | 170.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 69c | 163.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 77c | 161.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 15c | 152.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 19c | 136.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…a0c9backed Under | 74c | 135.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 76c | 109.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 22c | 107.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 34c | 97.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 26c | 90.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Over | 26c | 86.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 34c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Over | 24c | 69.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 56c | 67.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under | 79c | 57.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 71c | 46.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 35c | 46.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 36c | 45.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 36c | 45.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 36c | 44.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 30c | 35.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9d…77debacked Under | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 26.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb35…e223backed Over | 43c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 73c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…9ebcbacked Under | 74c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…d2d1backed Under | 74c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…95eabacked Under | 74c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…8d6cbacked Under | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…1b97backed Under | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-4.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.