TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b9d…77de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.24
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.4
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$84.52
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.84
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$64.06
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.01
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$40.22
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.11
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.82
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.69
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.16
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$74.77
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$54.02
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$430.75
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,612.53
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.32
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.17
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$24.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$21.16
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.08
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78%+$368.11
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.85
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.67
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$83.2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.82
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$4.77
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$32.82
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennarobacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$27.85
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$23.15
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$16.78
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chantabacked Pawit Sornlaksup · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.04
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$46.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.39
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.24
LoL: The Otter Side vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stagebacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.23
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$13.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$14.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$10.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$54.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.