TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Under51c117,903$60,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,272.2723948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c96,274$46,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,806.964,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c55,555$27,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,221.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c31,355$15,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,538.074,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over48c25,563$12,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,374.342,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over52c11,334$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Under52c10,200$5,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,89615849.4%78 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c10,054$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.3732152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c9,916$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,190.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c6,905$3,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.4611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under51c6,537$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.2534942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c4,642$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under52c3,600$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72814252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under50c3,002$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.1877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced2…d98abacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,485$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.854,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Over49c2,430$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,400$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.376,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,081$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.945,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c2,041$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.648,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c1,923$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.271,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under35c1,729$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.83,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c1,245$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.833,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Over47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c926.14$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.8128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c750$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080b…27a6backed Under45c749.85$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.422638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fbc…7b18backed Over49c715.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under57c594.61$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.92,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9213441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c548.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.31,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c522.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0375049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under51c388.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.396953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under48c315.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.447444.6%33 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under51c260.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.161,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over54c241.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2214858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over72c235$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.855,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Under47c227$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9619335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under52c226.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Under51c197.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9213853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3826747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2234255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011244.6%50 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c139.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.518,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c131.19$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.972,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over78c127.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4610864.8%70 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Under49c125.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6414535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Under52c120.77$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9712848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over49c119.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9d…77debacked Under51c110.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.024250%21 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68de…2309backed Under48c104.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c102.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0526438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9814759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under38c99.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe615…6819backed Over50c98.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.159951.5%51 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1512646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over59c87.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.321,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Under52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.543868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c77.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.035,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x592b…1a60backed Under52c71.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c70.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.89141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c67.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.486,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ca…2d82backed Under52c67.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.224445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over49c62.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…7d46backed Under45c61.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.712917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Under51c60.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.833551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under52c57.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.714645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6912350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Over52c53.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.656253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Under47c53.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.172552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc209…84d0backed Over47c52.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over46c50.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3815549.7%77 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over53c49.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4246952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea7…4a14backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.212,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under29c44.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.881,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over57c42.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.866248.4%30 W · 32 L-15.4wins-0.25per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over39c40.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.967453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.914751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c33.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.312,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over55c30.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under54c30.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.