MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e12cf47b532a49b03ddaba18cea1097be7cc4c553c04022f72cea0dfab57f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Milwaukee Brewers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 71c | 6,105$4,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 4,069$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.03 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 1,240$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.91 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics | 59c | 1,149$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.9 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 792.49$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.85 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 58c | 749.91$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 57c | 704.6$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 58c | 444$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Athletics | 60c | 391.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 369$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 347.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Athletics | 59c | 345.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 337.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Athletics | 73c | 273.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 58c | 231.1$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 230.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 227.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 207.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Athletics | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 56c | 171.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 165$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 58c | 149.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 127.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Athletics | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 123.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 121.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 104.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Athletics | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 59c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 90.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 58c | 88.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 72.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 57c | 66.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Athletics | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Athletics | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 48.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 47.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 40.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Athletics | 59c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 36.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 32.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 49c | 31.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 74c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Athletics | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Athletics | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Athletics | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…6498backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Athletics | 58c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 70c | 18.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Athletics | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.