MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb906efc556ff8859422a1c5fd4a86c5efdac18dd551eec7a900fbefbc878df82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 44c | 192,226$83,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,379.9 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 56c | 90,000$50,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,400 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 39,368$22,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,319.53 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 57c | 35,644$20,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,160.37 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 58c | 9,520$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 5,059$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 4,789$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.3 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 41c | 4,026$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.05 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 1,800$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 39c | 1,581$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.89 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 1,477$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over | 55c | 1,453$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 57c | 1,406$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,069$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.81 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 994.85$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 939.88$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Under | 42c | 886.95$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 77c | 853.63$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 800.67$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.36 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 33c | 733.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 720.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 57c | 707.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 683$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 57c | 540.04$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 58c | 518.25$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 58c | 446.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 444.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 59c | 356.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 75c | 354$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.46 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 340.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Under | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Over | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 65c | 260.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 22c | 219.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 56c | 194$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 17c | 188.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Over | 66c | 187.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 183$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 57c | 178.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 31c | 159.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 46c | 155.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 57c | 140$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Over | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 122.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 42c | 107.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 58c | 105.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 79c | 94.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 83.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 65c | 78.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 69c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 56c | 61.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 25c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 55.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 42c | 54.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 64c | 53.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 52.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 39.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…b43ebacked Over | 58c | 34.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Over | 58c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 65c | 26.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…64d2backed Over | 64c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 63c | 22.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 66c | 20.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Under | 72c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.