TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bb6…64d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.12
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.03
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$12.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$24.03
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$32.74
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+110%+$25.58
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.12
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.43
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.61
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$17.81
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.43
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.68
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.75
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.9
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.22
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$38.46
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+65.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.51
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.