TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under46c71,471$32,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,875.7543647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c70,735$31,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,830.7241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c36,364$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,363.647843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over54c32,868$17,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,203.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over55c30,000$16,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c9,132$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c8,152$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.758,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under51c6,909$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.368447.6%40 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c6,154$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.914,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over54c4,429$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.343,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over55c4,177$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.8620648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c2,882$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.621,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over54c2,546$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.061,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c1,786$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over54c1,783$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.331,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c1,155$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.622,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over54c1,083$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.1868053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under47c934.6$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2689153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0911848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c894.22$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.42,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8610750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over54c788.12$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5447350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under46c759.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.627249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over55c740.35$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1661450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over55c718.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.542755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under44c481$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over55c446.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.891942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6411662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over54c430.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1837052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under4c415.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.622,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c400.31$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over55c396$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under10c390.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.754715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c372$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.122,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c362.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.61,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over55c360.69$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.312857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.472648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.530048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over54c298.48$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.33,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Under47c291.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1410846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over55c290.9$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9194549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over72c236$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under46c214.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.891,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c198.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.191,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c190.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over56c180.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0927652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c169.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.054,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over54c151.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.919450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under19c145.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.061,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6344949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over55c122.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.151,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over52c114$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.191,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe432…a4a4backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over55c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.957646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over57c83.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.831,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over56c80.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6769447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.87343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over56c79.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.244,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over54c53.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6631258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235164.7%33 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49e1…7bf6backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.99141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c47.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa129…0838backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-82.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c42.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over76c42.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3620362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3625448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb6…64d2backed Over55c35.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.034845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Over77c33.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bac…e59dbacked Under47c31.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Under47c31.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7913056.2%73 W · 57 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over54c30.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9842448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.846557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.618151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0911149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under47c28.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3820945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Over55c28.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.632045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over78c26.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.936,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over54c24.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3913252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over54c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6530960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f4…918fbacked Under49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over55c22.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9999744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c20.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.