MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb45f24d652c8f583573c647d4cfb630fc803a51549bf98f09781ca8bfc6d054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 46c | 71,471$32,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,875.75 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 70,735$31,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,830.72 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 36,364$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,363.64 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 32,868$17,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,203.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 55c | 30,000$16,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 9,132$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 8,152$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Under | 51c | 6,909$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.36 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 6,154$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 4,429$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 55c | 4,177$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.86 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 2,882$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.62 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 2,546$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.06 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,786$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 1,783$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 73c | 1,155$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,083$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.18 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 47c | 934.6$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 894.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 54c | 788.12$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.54 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 759.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 55c | 740.35$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 55c | 718.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 481$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 446.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 430.83$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 4c | 415.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 400.31$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 396$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 10c | 390.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 372$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 56c | 362.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 55c | 360.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 54c | 298.48$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Under | 47c | 291.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 55c | 290.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 72c | 236$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 214.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 198.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 56c | 180.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 169.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 54c | 151.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 145.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 55c | 122.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 52c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…a4a4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 57c | 83.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 56c | 80.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 56c | 79.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 53.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…7bf6backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…0838backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 42.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 76c | 42.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…64d2backed Over | 55c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Over | 77c | 33.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…e59dbacked Under | 47c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Under | 47c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 54c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 47c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Over | 55c | 28.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 78c | 26.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 54c | 24.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…918fbacked Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.