TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56ac…fcc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT8651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.46
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20.42
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$10.75
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$35.28
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Gironbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+253.6%+$48.58
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuelbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$14.07
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynetsbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.58
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.