TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under49c248,305$121,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,639.4243647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over51c180,000$91,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,80035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c51,647$26,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,334.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c43,955$21,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,856.4941149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c30,156$15,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,671.464,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5702445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c6,595$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Over53c3,830$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.2612342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c3,553$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.991,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under49c2,803$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.7221147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over51c2,111$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.533,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.9875248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.841,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c1,333$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.981,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under49c1,200$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over51c1,159$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.23,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over32c1,054$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6987750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb1…73eebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c905.5$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.362,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c848.51$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c791$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.418,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under53c693.63$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.524,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under50c618$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.092,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c614$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under47c599.94$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.972737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Over51c564.92$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1127452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c560.37$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over43c555.95$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0612049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under48c415.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3111662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over25c368.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.694,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over50c351.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9748354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over54c341.5$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.642360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c321$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.711,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under50c299.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15158652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over53c236.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3588053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed Over52c211.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over26c199.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.245,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c182.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over51c175.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9122948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over45c169.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Over54c166.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over52c136.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7634451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under65c136.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.475,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over52c133.44$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3966050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over52c128.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…9b33backed Over8c126.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under48c121.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6377951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.844949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.226845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over18c103.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over50c102.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2857747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.855164.7%33 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0825034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over53c94.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over52c92.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1413260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over49c87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6312350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Over52c76.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.19141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.966,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.877050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked Over50c60.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.224425%11 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.635849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over26c56.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.663,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Over54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.979153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Over54c46.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.032,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…fcc5backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cf…6659backed Over52c38.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over51c34.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc28…ede2backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over44c25.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over53c25.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.434052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over51c23.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8617842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Over51c22.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8e…a1e2backed Over53c22.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132054.1%173 W · 147 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over52c20.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over52c20.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.223750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Over52c19.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1918444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Over52c19.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0621152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.