MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0d9a1069ac4f4c041a5feba31a4949eb78adee87ab22b72a6d28a7007fe625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 248,305$121,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,639.42 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 180,000$91,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,800 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 51,647$26,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,334.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 43,955$21,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,856.49 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 30,156$15,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,671.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 6,595$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 53c | 3,830$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.26 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 3,553$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 49c | 2,803$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.72 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 2,111$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 1,333$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.98 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 1,200$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 32c | 1,054$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 905.5$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 848.51$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 791$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 693.63$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 618$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 614$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 47c | 599.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 51c | 564.92$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 560.37$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 43c | 555.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 48c | 415.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 25c | 368.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 50c | 351.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 54c | 341.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 321$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 53c | 236.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Over | 52c | 211.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 26c | 199.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 182.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 51c | 175.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 45c | 169.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Over | 54c | 166.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 52c | 136.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 136.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 52c | 133.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…9b33backed Over | 8c | 126.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 48c | 121.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 18c | 103.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 53c | 94.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 52c | 92.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Over | 52c | 76.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 50c | 60.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 56.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Over | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 40.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Over | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 51c | 34.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 53c | 25.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 51c | 23.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 51c | 22.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8e…a1e2backed Over | 53c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.