MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2f56679420ddd3356eb124d7704cedccf4f6ff4315eda51cc4a30151c56f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 59c | 15,000$8,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,832.64 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 12,275$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.54 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 12,216$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 8,975$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 6,652$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 4,703$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 4,496$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 3,254$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Under | 53c | 2,851$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 2,421$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 47c | 2,020$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.36 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,800$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.58 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,218$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.82 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,136$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.78 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 659.89$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 656.67$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.53 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 51c | 589.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 50c | 518.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.05 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 478.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 44c | 385.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 45c | 277.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 45c | 245.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 234.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 55c | 219.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 199.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 34c | 171$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 157.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 44c | 120.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 111.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 50c | 102.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Over | 50c | 99.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 97.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Over | 50c | 92.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 56c | 72.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 66.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 57.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…2ae8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 51c | 51.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 53c | 40.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 41c | 36.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 56c | 35.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Over | 59c | 33.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Under | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Over | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 49c | 29.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 59c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Over | 50c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Under | 52c | 26.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 51c | 23.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 21.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 20.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…cb46backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…7b57backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.