MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd7aeeb38a291ad6f8c809a29d85c13d5d2fd2ab9f273ed726e173e7bc00235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $604,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,499.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 55,766$21,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,323.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 47,336$22,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,173.63 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 45,000$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 34,250$14,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,864.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 32,167$11,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,549.86 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 32,012$17,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,386.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 30,603$12,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,749.74 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 28,090$10,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,834.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 17,888$7,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,375.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 17,704$12,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 10,669$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 10,287$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.09 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 8,368$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 7,239$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 6,293$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,750$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.97 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 5,381$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 5,180$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 4,923$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.3 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 4,904$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 4,547$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 4,515$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.74 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,381$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.31 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,400$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.24 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,999$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,633$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.34 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 2,601$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,575$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.54 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 2,537$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.64 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 2,229$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.54 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,222$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,115$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,055$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,904$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.64 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,831$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,742$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,602$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.12 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,600$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.49 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,581$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,510$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,464$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.67 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,193$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,177$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.78 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,142$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.92 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 1,112$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,088$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 953.52$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 892.22$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 801.17$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 795.03$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.04 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 794.55$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 763.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 702$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 670$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 662$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 660$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.4 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 604.91$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 583$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 564.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 557.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 556.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 549.98$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 529$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 527.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.71 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 517.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 516.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 514.12$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 500.13$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 463.7$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…61b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 458.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 453.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.53 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 438.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.96 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 433.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 407.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 401.74$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 399.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 396.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 376.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 370.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.