Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db7016a71d287e2c1f622b27bc18c64a8c39ea4a72494c3b8d14cbb02518f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Feryof Arthur Fery, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Toby Samuel | 43c | 6,420$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Arthur Fery | 57c | 3,856$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.51 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 3,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toby Samuel | 35c | 3,380$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toby Samuel | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Toby Samuel | 43c | 2,244$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.96 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Toby Samuel | 8c | 1,568$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Arthur Fery | 58c | 1,348$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.21 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Fery | 60c | 1,047$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Toby Samuel | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arthur Fery | 58c | 727.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.33 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fery | 78c | 673.08$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toby Samuel | 21c | 664.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 663.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 530.59$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.46 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 506$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 365$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 340.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Arthur Fery | 55c | 299.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Arthur Fery | 56c | 236.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Toby Samuel | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Toby Samuel | 41c | 204.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 202.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Toby Samuel | 12c | 188.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Arthur Fery | 54c | 183.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Arthur Fery | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Toby Samuel | 22c | 177.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Toby Samuel | 46c | 175.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 172.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 167.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Toby Samuel | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 150.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 138.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Arthur Fery | 67c | 135.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toby Samuel | 14c | 133.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 128.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 108.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked Arthur Fery | 55c | 108.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 101.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Toby Samuel | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 98.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Toby Samuel | 37c | 64.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Toby Samuel | 23c | 61.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 60.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Arthur Fery | 59c | 60.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 56.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…a4a4backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Toby Samuel | 20c | 53.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Arthur Fery | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 51.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 49.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 48.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arthur Fery | 56c | 48.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 237 | 59.1%140 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Toby Samuel | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Arthur Fery | 57c | 44.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 44.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdae…5fbfbacked Toby Samuel | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Toby Samuel | 32c | 37.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…ab39backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 37.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 35.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…5b57backed Arthur Fery | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Arthur Fery | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Arthur Fery | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toby Samuel | 43c | 34.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Arthur Fery | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…352dbacked Arthur Fery | 58c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Arthur Fery | 79c | 33.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Toby Samuel | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Arthur Fery | 55c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…1551backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 30.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fery | 71c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Toby Samuel | 44c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Arthur Fery | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Toby Samuel | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Toby Samuel | 45c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Arthur Fery | 58c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fery | 59c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Arthur Fery | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Fery vs. Samuel: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.