TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cd6…352d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$43.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.1
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.72
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.94
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$19.35
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$15.02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$36.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.76
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$54.36
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.12
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.92
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.16
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.74
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.76
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Royan: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Nottingham Open: Katie Volynets vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+119%+$11.96
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$8.98
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuelbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$14.29
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$21.9
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.79
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.