TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,000,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,116,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed PARIVISION54c61,152$32,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,261.820354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked BIG41c32,605$13,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,494.063834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked PARIVISION61c32,575$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,575.4716443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG45c31,485$14,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,033.741,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BIG26c29,181$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,589.7381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION64c26,275$16,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,465.9833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG39c25,716$10,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,106.935,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG62c25,062$15,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,538.4475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BIG37c24,405$9,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,029.8221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BIG39c20,474$7,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,907.6711439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked BIG61c20,000$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,199.921861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed PARIVISION60c15,900$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.5136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed PARIVISION62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked BIG6c13,655$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.0243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked PARIVISION39c12,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.5122354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG39c12,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed PARIVISION63c11,693$7,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.42948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked PARIVISION66c11,586$7,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,883.34843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION61c11,000$6,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,29050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION39c10,380$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.9917737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed PARIVISION61c10,164$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.9348350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed PARIVISION60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed PARIVISION51c9,961$5,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.2917554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked PARIVISION60c8,719$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.0622449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG39c8,279$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.182,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked BIG39c8,091$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,155.452729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked PARIVISION58c7,500$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG39c7,335$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834.22,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked PARIVISION57c7,329$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.098258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG43c7,099$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.5966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BIG61c7,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.6564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked PARIVISION42c6,926$2,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.326036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked PARIVISION58c6,861$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.5825751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG43c6,813$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.4684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2562…ec54backed PARIVISION61c6,669$4,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed BIG37c6,501$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.144240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BIG39c6,146$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.8897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed PARIVISION64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.999550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed PARIVISION62c5,500$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.536555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION51c5,332$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.081,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked BIG61c5,257$3,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.694257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed BIG62c5,227$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.747459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked PARIVISION63c5,176$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.1138358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BIG38c5,144$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.471,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed BIG61c5,133$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.135160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed BIG39c5,117$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.7338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed BIG40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05028549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed BIG40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BIG39c4,998$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9391,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed PARIVISION39c4,801$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.4220448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed BIG35c4,768$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION59c4,717$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.9532348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed BIG39c4,466$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.6129449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed BIG40c4,464$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.5814846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BIG34c4,343$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.112,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfc…1818backed BIG38c4,282$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BIG39c4,270$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.2823848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BIG40c4,260$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.3869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked BIG61c4,109$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.485066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked BIG38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5202642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BIG39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION62c3,911$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.096,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed BIG39c3,879$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5136352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked PARIVISION56c3,566$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.495658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG36c3,537$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.611,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BIG36c3,496$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.4936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed BIG39c3,413$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.076144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eaa…2094backed PARIVISION54c3,390$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked PARIVISION60c3,370$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.25867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked BIG39c3,230$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.7321522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed PARIVISION57c3,200$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked PARIVISION70c3,150$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed BIG61c3,121$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.7721854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BIG17c3,119$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3832832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked BIG61c3,091$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.454751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BIG42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed PARIVISION64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed PARIVISION38c2,991$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.688246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed BIG39c2,905$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.9525440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked PARIVISION53c2,849$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.3535745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION38c2,839$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.1829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed PARIVISION61c2,818$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.3169445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG24c2,663$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.633,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PARIVISION57c2,498$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.282,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed PARIVISION39c2,485$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.0412941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed BIG20c2,432$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2612627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BIG36c2,402$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.593,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked PARIVISION64c2,233$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.883447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked PARIVISION61c2,223$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.9764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed PARIVISION60c2,217$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.5260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked BIG34c2,209$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed BIG38c2,146$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.3242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ac…9170backed BIG36c2,107$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed BIG37c2,097$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.2220745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked BIG38c2,078$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION66c2,040$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.025,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BIG1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BIG35c1,994$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.761,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.