CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aef5159c692bc45f74162637e8ea30bbc47bd66217619e36b0824946c0505c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof PARIVISION, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed PARIVISION | 33c | 31,500$10,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,395.11 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 67c | 22,027$14,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BIG | 66c | 4,737$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.97 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BIG | 67c | 3,976$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.59 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed PARIVISION | 32c | 3,310$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.12 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked PARIVISION | 34c | 3,188$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.98 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BIG | 67c | 1,210$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.25 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked BIG | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BIG | 67c | 757.58$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed BIG | 67c | 757$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.81 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked BIG | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION | 32c | 500.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed PARIVISION | 33c | 439.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6a88backed PARIVISION | 34c | 423.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed PARIVISION | 34c | 369$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BIG | 69c | 367.5$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed BIG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…25c5backed BIG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed BIG | 67c | 244.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed BIG | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked BIG | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed PARIVISION | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed BIG | 67c | 146.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BIG | 66c | 129.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BIG | 67c | 120.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BIG | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked BIG | 66c | 90.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed PARIVISION | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed PARIVISION | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed PARIVISION | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked BIG | 67c | 74.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed BIG | 67c | 72.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed BIG | 55c | 64.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…3390backed PARIVISION | 45c | 64.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 63c | 52.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed BIG | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed PARIVISION | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed PARIVISION | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed BIG | 67c | 40.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed PARIVISION | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…00adbacked BIG | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…aeb6backed BIG | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed BIG | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…73d4backed BIG | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed BIG | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed BIG | 67c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed BIG | 67c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked BIG | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed BIG | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed BIG | 68c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5)BIG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.