TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ff8…3a15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$116.22
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.39
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$55.11
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$50.78
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$22.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.61
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.52
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.56
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Acend - Map 4 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.36
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.92
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.52
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$53.73
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Aurora to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP - Game 1 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.21
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.32
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.73
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$81.53
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$30.58
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.22
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$28.15
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.42
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+792.9%+$356.79
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$74.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+192%+$34.94
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$106.36
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.45
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 19 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
American vs. National: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.