Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f184732304e7230a489ad3e8b346942c0e7cb544058dfc8bf7bd443d9b8c94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 29c | 3,453$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Yes | 34c | 1,986$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,417$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.19 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,202$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 1,083$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.01 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 936.26$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 29c | 931$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 72c | 845.07$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 641.87$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Yes | 31c | 444$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 417.04$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 19c | 402.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 74c | 391.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 376.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 268.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 240$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Yes | 34c | 233.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Yes | 22c | 228.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 28c | 195$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 27c | 184.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 13c | 159.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 14c | 129.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 126.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 117.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 107.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 103.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 72c | 102.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 101.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 90.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…7a2abacked Yes | 17c | 90.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…ff13backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…82b5backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 59.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 73c | 59.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed Yes | 21c | 58.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…04b2backed Yes | 29c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 72c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 29c | 38.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 76c | 35.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 76c | 33.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 73c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.