TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, Team Nemesis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$829,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$927,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed Team Nemesis52c49,493$25,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,736.1620153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Nemesis22c34,036$7,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,411.5663057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Alliance53c32,222$17,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,144.3333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Alliance48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,599.9816344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Nemesis54c21,894$11,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,781.6812449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Alliance47c21,500$10,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,394.9122354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Alliance48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Alliance45c17,859$8,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,746.4517554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Alliance48c17,685$8,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,196.0748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Team Nemesis51c15,686$7,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,986.0820248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis53c15,144$7,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,982.085,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Nemesis53c13,138$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis24c12,637$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.052,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Alliance52c11,529$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.7936453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis38c10,855$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,092.291,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Nemesis52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2009047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Nemesis52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Alliance47c9,389$4,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.843834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Nemesis34c9,231$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,156.6287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Nemesis47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,23038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance56c8,974$5,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.662,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Alliance47c8,845$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,682.6966551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Alliance51c8,827$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,347.532948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Team Nemesis6c7,687$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.987617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance47c6,722$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.7584658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Team Nemesis49c6,502$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.86450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis43c6,378$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7361,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Nemesis59c6,239$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.4221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Nemesis53c6,207$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.5136152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Team Nemesis52c6,021$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.082729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Alliance47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Team Nemesis51c5,833$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.3261047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis54c5,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Nemesis33c5,300$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance45c5,225$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.751,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Team Nemesis71c5,155$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.037459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Team Nemesis71c5,103$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.125160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Team Nemesis71c5,039$3,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.686560%39 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Nemesis1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis52c4,992$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.152,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Alliance48c4,659$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.6864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis45c4,271$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.365,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Alliance47c4,214$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.6538841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Alliance48c4,200$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.9371645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Alliance48c4,133$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.3324940.6%101 W · 148 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Team Nemesis71c4,104$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.844751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Team Nemesis71c4,023$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.325455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed Team Nemesis53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Alliance48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Team Nemesis52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Team Nemesis71c3,578$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…7458backed Team Nemesis5c3,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603930.8%12 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Alliance47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+63.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Nemesis23c3,444$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.0721522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Team Nemesis71c3,062$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1746546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis28c3,018$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.475,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Alliance48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5604542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Alliance47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Nemesis53c2,991$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.3237946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Team Nemesis15c2,951$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.3343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Alliance76c2,888$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5322241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Alliance49c2,776$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.7616749.1%82 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Team Nemesis53c2,655$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.1555441.2%228 W · 326 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Team Nemesis53c2,600$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36522843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Nemesis56c2,550$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.5955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Team Nemesis36c2,550$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.4918154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Nemesis46c2,470$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis22c2,409$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.833,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Team Nemesis1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Nemesis52c2,400$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.9976546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Team Nemesis44c2,351$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.6314362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Alliance48c2,342$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.826144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Nemesis38c2,304$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.871,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Team Nemesis45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.97447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis38c2,178$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.956,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Nemesis34c2,070$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Alliance51c2,067$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.8144657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked Team Nemesis71c2,041$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.12944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Alliance33c2,034$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.715742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Team Nemesis71c2,020$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.195066%33 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis14c2,004$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.664,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Alliance47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Alliance46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Team Nemesis37c1,983$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.0375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Nemesis42c1,976$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.1360434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Team Nemesis43c1,937$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.6636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis43c1,898$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.622,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Team Nemesis53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Alliance54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Team Nemesis44c1,805$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Team Nemesis56c1,800$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.7524262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Nemesis52c1,755$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.4875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Team Nemesis59c1,708$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed Alliance29c1,684$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.449951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Team Nemesis38c1,641$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8427037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis52c1,554$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.082,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked Team Nemesis54c1,554$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.964353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b5…67b4backed Team Nemesis52c1,545$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.532466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked Team Nemesis71c1,538$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.973253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.