CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6b3c31031749892bd184d0b1198def612a9e1b663c5e14aa45ade1d214d801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,358$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.14 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 50c | 1,896$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.15 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 52c | 955.25$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.97 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Under | 50c | 723.47$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.94 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over | 48c | 549.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.88 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Under | 53c | 463.83$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 44c | 337.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 44c | 317.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 272.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 80c | 232.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 211.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Over | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 50c | 198.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 52c | 128.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 45c | 117.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 50c | 107.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 49c | 101.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 51c | 101.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 99.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…81a4backed Over | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Over | 48c | 82.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 77.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…1eaebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 56.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 24c | 43.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…6171backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 48c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Under | 51c | 27.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…1d52backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…c560backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)Alliance won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.