TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under40c7,185$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.892,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c2,529$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.355,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Over62c2,442$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c2,434$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.78,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under51c1,479$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea97…5ac0backed Under43c1,275$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under43c1,200$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Over48c1,007$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under46c955$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under41c850.39$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.681,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over69c800.39$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.711,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under41c773.21$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over59c711.86$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c699.82$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.831,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.222250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over57c543.52$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c532.76$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.531,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Over59c506.78$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Under43c470$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over57c470$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.11,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f1…a504backed Over58c401.48$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over50c391.51$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.652982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under43c389.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.655042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over60c363.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea2f…dff2backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over69c280.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c271.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.142,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over59c269.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over66c265.72$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Under42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over59c213.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.692962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c209.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.881478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over62c201.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.563,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over49c196.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0526835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over55c187.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.271,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over59c187.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under35c183.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9117051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over59c170.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.781266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over50c169$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under42c165.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.715547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3a15backed Under31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under48c154.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c151.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4218426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over58c138.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c130.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.252,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over72c122.35$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.877342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c118.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.312,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Under48c103.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.249852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over60c86.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.697156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7513167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Under37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under40c80.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.613256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.537467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.535164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c67.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8826965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under46c67.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c61.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Under44c59.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.182536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.823351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Under44c50.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2181…b6b3backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked Under50c48.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over70c46.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0229245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c45.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under33c43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under29c42.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c5ebacked Under40c37.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under39c37.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c36.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4135046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c35.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Under38c35.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.483935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.054542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd60…c454backed Over60c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.06560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over51c28.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over51c25.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5519164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under42c25.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.