South American Leagues · resolved market

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x813eb1f28d8f97ec9bb6a22775ce236e3dc51de7e62f0bf8592555080fc2704e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,785 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under	68c	9,553$6,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,034.3	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	25c	8,588$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.33	116	18.1%21 W · 95 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	28c	8,166$2,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,304.87	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	61c	6,293$3,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,433.05	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Over	65c	3,100$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	38c	3,062$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,885.79	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	60c	2,675$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.63	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	23c	2,534$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.08	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	42c	2,513$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.72	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	70c	1,546$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.73	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	50c	1,000$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under	65c	920$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under	48c	871.79$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.33	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	79c	696$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.26	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over	64c	521.34$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.66	66	68.2%45 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	103	64.1%66 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed Over	32c	466.17$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.98	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	32c	449.97$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.02	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	78c	403.82$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.21	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	37c	369.88$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.08	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	57c	303.27$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.35	575	40.2%231 W · 344 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	26c	275.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	48c	248.34$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.11	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	75c	242.63$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.72	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over	58c	206.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	73c	205.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.48	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	55c	200$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.9	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	45c	189.01$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.87	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	70c	167.99$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.83	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under	64c	155.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	48c	145.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	39c	128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	70c	122.43$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.91	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	50c	120$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	52c	115.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.47	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	49c	100.32$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	37c	99.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe095…1af6backed Under	52c	96.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	15c	94.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	90	26.7%24 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	36c	92.19$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.19	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Over	64c	82.14$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over	48c	71.25$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under	64c	70$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	114	57%65 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	21c	67.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	64c	65$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over	37c	62.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	58c	57.95$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.17	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under	40c	57.31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over	70c	57.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over	36c	54.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	47c	54.79$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over	64c	54.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	65c	51.15$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.75	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	35c	46.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Under	64c	46.64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.76	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	77c	43.7$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.16	191	64.4%123 W · 68 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over	61c	40.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	80c	36.76$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.35	24	87.5%21 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	76cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	63c	32.74$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.11	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under	62c	32.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.44	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over	68c	31.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over	65c	31.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x010c…a158backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.36per pick	52cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over	48c	26.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under	57c	26.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	107	66.4%71 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	42c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	102	50%51 W · 51 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Under	68c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.95	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28db…3215backed Under	74c	22.97$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under	65c	22.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbb…bec7backed Under	65c	20.09$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Over	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf809…2ef1backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb49c…50c7backed Over	65c	18.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under	74c	16.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.14	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	73c	15.85$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.28	164	59.8%98 W · 66 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5this page
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 0.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 1.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 2.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Over won
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event