WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44cb07834f148748d2fc66c0ca20468133a6dbefbbbade3321d5dd7dd5589e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 17,698$8,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,865.06 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 16,436$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,377.63 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 10,389$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.85 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 9,300$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.44 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 9,297$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,883.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 8,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 7,856$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.62 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 7,616$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.19 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Indiana Fever | 37c | 6,863$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.34 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 5,403$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 5,400$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.91 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 5,140$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.95 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 4,921$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.56 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 4,903$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 4,564$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.67 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 4,561$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.64 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 4,445$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.48 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 4,437$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 4,402$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 4,110$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 4,075$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.81 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 3,799$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.95 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 3,629$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.37 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 3,121$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.65 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 3,041$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…66dbbacked Indiana Fever | 61c | 2,914$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,673$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.96 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 2,610$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.48 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…c1f2backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 2,504$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 2,481$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.17 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,449$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.76 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Indiana Fever | 14c | 2,438$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.67 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Indiana Fever | 67c | 2,404$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.88 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever | 16c | 2,323$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.35 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 2,300$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.91 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 2,240$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.4 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…f293backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 2,239$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Indiana Fever | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Indiana Fever | 36c | 2,091$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.74 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 2,016$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.98 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Indiana Fever | 41c | 1,937$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 1,885$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 1,700$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.72 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 1,664$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 1,546$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Indiana Fever | 63c | 1,540$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Indiana Fever | 44c | 1,425$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.82 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Indiana Fever | 23c | 1,423$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.33 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 1,384$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.26 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Indiana Fever | 63c | 1,279$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,266$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,253$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,184$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Indiana Fever | 62c | 1,177$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Indiana Fever | 27c | 1,165$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,154$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 1,111$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.09 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…9849backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 1,090$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 1,039$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 1,016$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 39c | 1,013$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 999.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 955.24$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.16 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 945.29$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Indiana Fever | 32c | 925.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 908.63$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 842.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 820.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.53 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 761.29$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 680.8$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.54 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Indiana Fever | 57c | 664.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Indiana Fever | 61c | 660.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 642.77$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 640.96$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…5e97backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 635.8$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 613.83$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 600.67$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Indiana Fever | 73c | 592.69$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 589.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 584.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.31 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Indiana Fever | 57c | 538.77$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 534.48$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 532.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.33 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 523.13$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 514.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.