WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3515e47c960447c22fbbd7039b556ffb2f253fe3ca72b76c84acddcf4827f4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 50c | 5,333$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 4,984$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 55c | 1,892$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.1 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,190$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 965$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 891.88$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 19c | 888.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 20c | 805$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 712$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 68c | 585.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 488.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 24c | 429.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 21c | 395.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 50c | 383.76$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 49c | 381.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 75c | 347.5$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 307.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Over | 72c | 294$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 73c | 258.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 242.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 218.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 73c | 217.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 80c | 184.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 61c | 179.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 177$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 173.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 50c | 173.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 27c | 159.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 112.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 108.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…95eebacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 41c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 45c | 90.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 26c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 65c | 85.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 81.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 29c | 75.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 19c | 73.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 23c | 69.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 18c | 68.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 75c | 61.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 49c | 60.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 35c | 54.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 45.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 31c | 45.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 32c | 37.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Over | 68c | 36.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…4572backed Over | 76c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 33c | 30.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 51c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix MercuryIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.