WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf665f2bb5252218696cef70bed9c017050a453946b0167a59ab7c273a944ee45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 76c | 7,301$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.02 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 25c | 3,830$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 31c | 2,548$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.89 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 32c | 1,054$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 853.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.1 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…0406backed Under | 43c | 499.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 409.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 402.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 389.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 61c | 380.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Under | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 24c | 229.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Over | 33c | 186.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 25c | 183.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 78c | 176.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 25c | 172.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 42c | 171$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 170.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 65c | 169.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 157.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 42c | 155.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 69c | 154.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 34c | 140.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 36c | 116$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Under | 27c | 110.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Under | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 37c | 95.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 95.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 36c | 87.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Under | 48c | 83.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 46c | 68.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 68.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 35c | 52.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 51.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 45.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 66c | 44.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 62c | 43.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 32c | 34.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 40c | 31.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 43c | 27.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 57c | 26.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 78c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix MercuryIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.