TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1ed…25be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$1,144.8
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$608
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,137.38
Athens Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,926.37
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,031.51
Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,998
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,399.99
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,438.65
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfibacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,359.5
Iasi Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,375.37
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,423.99
Contrexeville: Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$3,110.39
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+1,793.7%+$24,068.1
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,529.99
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,385.95
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.88
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595.99
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.22
Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.73
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,376.85
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$4,690
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,195.99
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$1,053.62
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$739.65
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 186.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.4
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.2
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,325.97
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.87
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.49
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,274.98
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$1,983.64
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.39
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.71
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.5
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.05
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,443.99
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$2,981.64
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.38
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+171%+$4,034.74
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.