WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc281e2a2095d86ebcd0906cbdeca27945042832f4eeefde6394b30a0de05a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 49c | 3,298$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.73 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,642$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.98 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.38 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 54c | 932.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.53 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Over | 53c | 660.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 506.17$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 323.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 49c | 295.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Under | 49c | 295.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 257.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 212.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 170.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 46c | 169.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Over | 54c | 155.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 129.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 121.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 50.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Over | 52c | 49.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 48.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 46.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 37c | 32.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 24.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.