TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Las Vegas Aces, Washington Mystics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,084 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf45…401fbacked Las Vegas Aces4c33,227$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Las Vegas Aces69c25,000$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,249.929245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics31c11,039$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,616.9136154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics25c8,470$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,340.8199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics31c8,183$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,67583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces65c6,607$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.31,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Washington Mystics31c6,290$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.327236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Washington Mystics60c5,664$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.841618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-70.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Las Vegas Aces38c5,237$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.016735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Las Vegas Aces74c4,182$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.455466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Mystics31c3,549$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.812245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Washington Mystics38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.991947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Las Vegas Aces2c3,136$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Las Vegas Aces1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Las Vegas Aces1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ed…25bebacked Washington Mystics32c2,914$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.642142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Las Vegas Aces70c2,857$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Las Vegas Aces69c2,522$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Mystics31c2,368$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.0514942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Las Vegas Aces3c2,366$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.791216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Las Vegas Aces67c2,143$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.9221446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Washington Mystics29c2,048$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Washington Mystics19c2,004$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.951560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Las Vegas Aces9c1,980$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.491020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Las Vegas Aces2c1,904$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Mystics17c1,669$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.9310634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Las Vegas Aces2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Las Vegas Aces1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Mystics78c1,185$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2110858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Mystics20c1,137$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.2910838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Mystics48c1,084$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Washington Mystics24c1,055$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4410538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Las Vegas Aces7c1,032$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.134918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Las Vegas Aces66c1,020$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0513844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Las Vegas Aces2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Washington Mystics22c929.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9913024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Mystics24c927.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.8119428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics42c887.4$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8532150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Las Vegas Aces74c838.42$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.865020%10 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Washington Mystics24c825.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces71c678.34$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.81,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Las Vegas Aces75c667.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics38c637.3$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.230347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Mystics19c617.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9816633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Las Vegas Aces70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces80c561.27$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Washington Mystics30c555$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.58733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Las Vegas Aces24c541.08$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.06825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics29c527.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Mystics29c510.74$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.336339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Washington Mystics80c490.87$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.132751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Las Vegas Aces23c459.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.82437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Las Vegas Aces80c436.18$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.947431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Washington Mystics75c433.16$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Las Vegas Aces66c432.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.07850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Las Vegas Aces70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Las Vegas Aces11c400$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Las Vegas Aces11c399.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Las Vegas Aces72c390.05$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Washington Mystics4c381.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.233748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Las Vegas Aces53c366.85$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1410340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Washington Mystics30c339.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.863250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…af18backed Las Vegas Aces70c335.02$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…bdbabacked Las Vegas Aces54c328.65$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4750%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Mystics20c327.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2219031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9be…08bebacked Washington Mystics32c313.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Washington Mystics6c312.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.387638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Las Vegas Aces77c279.31$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9315748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Las Vegas Aces74c273$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Washington Mystics79c269.66$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.192352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4112234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics30c256$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd765…f8ddbacked Las Vegas Aces69c255.27$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Las Vegas Aces68c242.07$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.619650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Mystics24c241.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3117656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Las Vegas Aces70c238.37$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8632750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Las Vegas Aces78c237.35$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98e8…eebfbacked Washington Mystics54c232.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Washington Mystics54c231.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.752441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Washington Mystics80c230.12$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Washington Mystics80c230.11$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Washington Mystics31c228.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5813850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Washington Mystics18c227.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.781816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Las Vegas Aces73c223.49$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5419458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Washington Mystics63c222$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Washington Mystics32c219.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.172123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Washington Mystics9c210.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.357520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Las Vegas Aces78c210.35$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3411841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Las Vegas Aces48c209.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Washington Mystics61c204.17$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.095362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Las Vegas Aces77c199.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.939156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Washington Mystics29c199.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Washington Mystics16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.57944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces79c177.38$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics59c167.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d15…4a14backed Las Vegas Aces10c163.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Washington Mystics36c160.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.682817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics18c155.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.566437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Las Vegas Aces66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.