WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0e5e054c11013c99d630b3b2697a028744ebb635663e2206540cf97e1f1505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 8,910$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.12 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 49c | 6,165$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.95 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 5,621$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.73 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 49c | 5,087$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 2,384$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.31 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 2,330$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.52 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e85dbacked Under | 51c | 1,523$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 1,514$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.25 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 1,208$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.97 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 1,109$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 51c | 931.37$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 65c | 919.4$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 856.3$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.15 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 734.12$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 660.28$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.54 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 51c | 307$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 248$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 41c | 189.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 51c | 152.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 149.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 51c | 148.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 141.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 64c | 111.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 98.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Over | 49c | 98.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 81.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 40.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 57c | 38.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Over | 50c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…8610backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 161.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.