Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8054fef9f1b2bbf57dc4fc438b3744c96c0b4d59d128f660cc467fff34a7c3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Aryna Sabalenka, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,590,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,701,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,590,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5fa…62dfbacked Naomi Osaka | 53c | 563,771$298,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,061.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 181,132$62,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,586.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 60,600$40,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,241.6 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 46,912$24,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,262.87 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Naomi Osaka | 32c | 42,750$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,069.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Aryna Sabalenka | 36c | 35,213$12,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,684.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 34,031$13,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,313.25 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 27,948$18,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,445.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 25,529$17,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,184.67 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 24,067$16,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,124.89 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 23,725$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 22,278$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Naomi Osaka | 47c | 21,353$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,353.31 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 19,519$13,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110.97 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 16,113$10,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,634.77 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aryna Sabalenka | 40c | 16,071$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Naomi Osaka | 62c | 14,060$8,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 14,000$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 13,614$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.94 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 42c | 11,050$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 10,161$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Naomi Osaka | 66c | 10,010$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.52 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…dacdbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 9,833$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.3 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Aryna Sabalenka | 2c | 9,772$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…9d89backed Naomi Osaka | 48c | 9,750$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,070 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 9,284$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 8,669$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.05 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…769ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 57c | 8,309$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Naomi Osaka | 43c | 7,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 7,297$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aryna Sabalenka | 52c | 7,213$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.69 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Naomi Osaka | 45c | 7,160$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.48 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 52c | 6,747$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.65 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Naomi Osaka | 32c | 6,700$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 6,666$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.88 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aryna Sabalenka | 45c | 6,272$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.13 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Naomi Osaka | 32c | 6,260$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.79 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ed…25bebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 6,047$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.85 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 5,714$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.45 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 5,133$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.11 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Aryna Sabalenka | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 4,721$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.02 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka | 66c | 4,325$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.33 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Aryna Sabalenka | 36c | 4,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 3,872$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 3,788$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Naomi Osaka | 57c | 3,727$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.73 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 55c | 3,684$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.1 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 3,648$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.73 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 3,581$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.75 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Naomi Osaka | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.98 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 3,237$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Naomi Osaka | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Naomi Osaka | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Naomi Osaka | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 2,966$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Naomi Osaka | 50c | 2,853$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.02 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 32c | 2,823$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.92 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 33c | 2,813$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 2,801$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.85 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 2,712$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Naomi Osaka | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 2,640$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.19 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 65c | 2,618$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 66c | 2,592$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.72 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 27c | 2,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 50c | 2,377$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 49c | 2,301$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 2,205$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Naomi Osaka | 60c | 2,017$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.33 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Naomi Osaka | 70c | 2,001$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.23 | 104 | 69.2%72 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Naomi Osaka | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Naomi Osaka | 31c | 2,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.05 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 1,999$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 1,936$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Aryna Sabalenka | 30c | 1,920$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.09 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 1,902$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Naomi Osaka | 32c | 1,900$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.96 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 1,660$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.58 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Naomi Osaka | 31c | 1,652$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.9 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 1,643$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 61c | 1,579$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.98 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…229ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 32c | 1,573$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.46 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 1,557$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.11 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.1 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 36c | 1,465$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.34 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Aryna Sabalenka | 37c | 1,462$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Naomi Osaka | 38c | 1,443$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Naomi Osaka | 35c | 1,430$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Sabalenka vs. Osaka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.