TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes2c14,715$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.89329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ed…25bebacked Yes2c12,519$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.883234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c9,949$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.15571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes5c8,336$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.533836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes3c6,989$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.516524.6%16 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes0c6,477$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b9…6b7cbacked Yes3c5,280$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes0c4,009$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes2c4,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.269013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c3,888$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5510221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a78…896ebacked Yes2c3,836$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed Yes1c3,545$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2223…e9e0backed Yes2c3,299$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe961…7c83backed Yes2c3,214$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9829…0ab4backed Yes2c2,920$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edb…8e28backed Yes2c2,796$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47f…2a79backed Yes2c2,394$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2595…47eebacked Yes3c2,292$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42e…dd36backed Yes2c2,273$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8142…f108backed Yes3c2,267$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c9…387abacked Yes2c2,244$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8112…a99bbacked Yes2c2,230$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…3901backed Yes2c2,210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c02…7523backed Yes2c2,171$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759c…c1cdbacked Yes2c2,105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes2c2,031$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes1c1,938$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eda…68b3backed Yes2c1,898$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ca…7807backed Yes2c1,876$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…275dbacked Yes3c1,862$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c46…97eebacked Yes2c1,801$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a10…fc10backed Yes2c1,799$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,798$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.662550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x599e…af7dbacked Yes2c1,741$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8346…d539backed Yes2c1,707$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e51…d1edbacked Yes2c1,697$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df0…1a70backed Yes3c1,690$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd66…0755backed Yes2c1,662$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes1c1,645$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9338033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572b…be9ebacked Yes3c1,515$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf245…3152backed Yes2c1,509$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3648…0c34backed Yes2c1,503$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bf…a028backed Yes2c1,493$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9f…134fbacked Yes2c1,488$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72dc…cf85backed Yes2c1,381$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494d…92d8backed Yes3c1,361$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8147…2affbacked Yes2c1,292$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530e…2da6backed Yes2c1,287$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410b…b799backed Yes2c1,287$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad59…345dbacked Yes2c1,264$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abd…0b21backed Yes2c1,259$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,237$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.122,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa423…2932backed Yes2c1,232$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0619411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a9a…308cbacked Yes2c1,193$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes4c1,188$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cf…803dbacked Yes3c1,186$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab4…ad3cbacked Yes3c1,130$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d8…c9c2backed Yes3c1,126$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae5…5688backed Yes2c1,105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9c…0f14backed Yes3c1,045$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca7…1912backed Yes2c1,020$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes5c1,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01bb…f429backed Yes3c967$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb7…fa47backed Yes2c956$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e9…e86cbacked Yes2c937$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc522…2c30backed Yes3c922$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc4…9113backed Yes2c921$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…87d0backed Yes3c917$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes6c905.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010028%28 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9a…ac64backed Yes3c897$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a2…d57abacked Yes2c890$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c6e…05aebacked Yes3c835$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…d79cbacked Yes3c826$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…6895backed Yes3c826$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3e…6be3backed Yes2c813$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x321d…b806backed Yes2c793$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…2dfbbacked Yes2c778$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1c…0b56backed Yes2c776$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40d…e907backed Yes3c768$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74be…2d4abacked Yes2c734$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b68…95efbacked Yes3c715$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3357…0972backed Yes2c689$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8335…71a6backed Yes3c681$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0b…9cb5backed Yes3c675$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe429…312dbacked Yes3c672$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6321…7091backed Yes2c649$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…174cbacked Yes2c633$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca6…46cbbacked Yes2c632$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2121…4804backed Yes3c625$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcd…3e7bbacked Yes3c588$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75d…aababacked Yes2c570$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17eb…8db2backed Yes5c567.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd3…5d5fbacked Yes2c557$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388d…aa42backed Yes2c546$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e7…4f23backed Yes2c544$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374f…64acbacked Yes2c535$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1205…50aabacked Yes2c534$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad3…95c6backed Yes3c517$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5850…dc65backed Yes3c482$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.