Tennis · resolved market

Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82afa0371b5b716a7f61842cbaceacbb53a6622bc7f88f6f9457b8d2ce98e6d5

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $238,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $193,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes	3c	88,024$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288.62	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+153.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes	3c	14,648$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	294	43.5%128 W · 166 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes	2c	4,077$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.44	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	3c	2,793$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	2c	2,567$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.69	82	8.5%7 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…218abacked Yes	3c	2,275$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+6.6wins	+0.16per pick	35cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe32e…622ebacked Yes	3c	2,200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Yes	3c	1,795$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.84	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	3c	1,738$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.18	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Yes	2c	1,700$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	320	50%160 W · 160 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes	3c	1,577$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	11.1%6 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes	3c	1,577$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	277	39%108 W · 169 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	2c	1,469$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…3c17backed Yes	2c	1,422$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	2c	1,383$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes	3c	1,189$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	527	50.3%265 W · 262 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…0e1dbacked Yes	5c	1,091$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes	3c	1,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	250	51.2%128 W · 122 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Yes	1c	879.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	69	29%20 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes	1c	870.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	2c	661.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2395…4508backed Yes	4c	581.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes	4c	551.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…e22dbacked Yes	4c	507.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	501.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	3c	391.64$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event