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Tennis · resolved market

Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,085,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,018,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes5c12,358$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59029443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5619…ee5bbacked Yes19c7,444$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…8179backed Yes19c7,313$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes5c6,075$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-54.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…df95backed Yes7c5,094$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ea…8711backed Yes6c4,456$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b42…38a2backed Yes3c4,254$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…fd34backed Yes6c4,062$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff9…71d8backed Yes4c4,032$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…6639backed Yes6c3,988$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes4c3,984$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5752750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes5c3,786$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b7…3045backed Yes5c3,527$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe309…13c3backed Yes4c3,495$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65b…c9f4backed Yes3c3,406$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f59…1456backed Yes4c3,373$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2b…98b6backed Yes5c3,220$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b5…0d7bbacked Yes4c2,936$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1a…e58bbacked Yes6c2,853$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…ae41backed Yes4c2,847$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe745…eafebacked Yes3c2,833$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…fddcbacked Yes5c2,751$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf8…3229backed Yes6c2,712$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8c…b8f2backed Yes5c2,706$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80f…f6e3backed Yes6c2,700$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d3…81c5backed Yes8c2,698$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aac…5365backed Yes7c2,696$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes6c2,681$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0138033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf459…48b0backed Yes6c2,608$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes4c2,477$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1df…a9f4backed Yes8c2,448$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e0c…5d94backed Yes9c2,425$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd5…2f25backed Yes7c2,403$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…e97dbacked Yes4c2,336$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7d…d227backed Yes5c2,317$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…b62ebacked Yes5c2,316$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7d…b30ebacked Yes7c2,303$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534f…7e8bbacked Yes9c2,289$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfc1…5086backed Yes4c2,282$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf770…b9afbacked Yes3c2,261$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes5c2,257$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.829013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0f…e13abacked Yes7c2,255$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…2bb9backed Yes3c2,255$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094c…76c3backed Yes9c2,248$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb573…2908backed Yes3c2,245$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a4…824bbacked Yes3c2,237$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes5c2,231$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.642321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4336…62d5backed Yes7c2,213$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae8…4f1fbacked Yes6c2,207$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0d…e2c2backed Yes6c2,207$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c7…fd0ebacked Yes5c2,171$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…5e16backed Yes5c2,169$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…b25abacked Yes5c2,163$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x808f…6efbbacked Yes7c2,104$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ac…22b4backed Yes6c2,103$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a4…f4afbacked Yes6c2,097$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc522…2c30backed Yes3c2,069$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4734…85c6backed Yes10c2,066$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d1…1c1abacked Yes4c2,054$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d9…2b99backed Yes6c2,049$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…d1b4backed Yes6c2,049$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes5c2,028$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.58329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7421…d430backed Yes4c2,009$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…a181backed Yes7c2,008$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes6c2,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12226541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa67…b907backed Yes6c1,959$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9829…0ab4backed Yes3c1,957$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc6…0cc9backed Yes7c1,922$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec4…6aadbacked Yes6c1,908$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x634c…c618backed Yes5c1,885$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff8…ca48backed Yes3c1,853$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009f…45fcbacked Yes3c1,839$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d60…4c5ebacked Yes3c1,822$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…c64cbacked Yes4c1,800$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c02backed Yes11c1,797$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb46…332ebacked Yes5c1,789$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaea…4b01backed Yes3c1,784$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,775$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.832,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf918…39e3backed Yes3c1,769$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec6…317cbacked Yes5c1,767$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…1ab6backed Yes4c1,748$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3222…71dfbacked Yes6c1,744$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb23b…c4a1backed Yes4c1,743$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…2147backed Yes6c1,727$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x572b…be9ebacked Yes3c1,695$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d78…ca7ebacked Yes6c1,692$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a6…a630backed Yes8c1,672$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a3…66f8backed Yes8c1,651$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…06fbbacked Yes5c1,640$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa783…cb29backed Yes8c1,613$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc90…0135backed Yes3c1,589$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc01…7f07backed Yes3c1,580$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d1…9f3fbacked Yes11c1,577$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7304…96bbbacked Yes7c1,559$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a6…3257backed Yes4c1,537$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be8…46bebacked Yes4c1,530$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197e…7fefbacked Yes6c1,496$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…cf99backed Yes3c1,487$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9c…77f8backed Yes5c1,483$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6f…1df9backed Yes9c1,482$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.