Tennis · resolved market

Will Alexandra Eala be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d83b0386a6648c0736920d3dc64f6ab7717c1a8b3ea5134945670e9c9f1338

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,411 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	5c	7,501$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.2	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae59…981bbacked Yes	7c	6,582$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	6c	6,540$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.58	539	42.9%231 W · 308 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…af8bbacked Yes	11c	4,431$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes	5c	4,167$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…16b2backed Yes	11c	2,208$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	4c	2,164$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.01	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	5c	2,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	1,351$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.41	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	4c	1,027$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	1,532	40.7%624 W · 908 L	-48.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	7c	645.49$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.82	368	39.1%144 W · 224 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3e…c46fbacked Yes	6c	514$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	36cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	5c	500$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9de…5169backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	2c	410$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	444	23.9%106 W · 338 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	7c	304.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	7c	295.16$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…00abbacked Yes	8c	286.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3975…2588backed Yes	7c	277.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8110…fd53backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf81c…0c6fbacked Yes	9c	245.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8043…121bbacked Yes	7c	205$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6125…4947backed Yes	11c	176.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	8c	160$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…6accbacked Yes	7c	156.91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Alexandra Eala be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event