TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes3c51,946$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.1128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+153.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes13c22,933$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.99329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes3c14,196$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41529443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes6c11,287$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6661816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes8c10,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.242321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No80c9,090$7,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No79c6,868$5,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.718226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c6,456$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.7723731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes13c6,068$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.65639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes18c5,829$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.2322623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No75c5,008$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.256445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes19c4,936$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.2670%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes9c4,047$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.069013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes2c3,929$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.42504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No79c3,811$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.135427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes22c3,386$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.991,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes9c3,197$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae0…b4cebacked Yes21c3,000$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes0c2,992$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…ce73backed Yes21c2,517$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No78c2,500$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.97862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,177$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes3c2,154$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes24c2,068$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes2c2,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4626541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked No79c2,000$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.991656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5b…576fbacked Yes11c1,860$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes27c1,850$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes14c1,829$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.971225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes4c1,524$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes1c1,461$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes26c1,409$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes24c1,400$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes5c1,375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6738033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No79c1,362$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.852948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2613backed Yes18c1,259$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes5c1,200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8719411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes1c1,154$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked No77c1,102$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes22c1,051$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0953942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes10c1,027$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes17c1,023$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2190%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81c…33aebacked Yes2c1,013$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8080…8a7ebacked No79c1,000$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c9…9c02backed Yes4c900.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a8…1c4ebacked Yes22c899.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7926…0f10backed Yes27c880.6$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes23c858.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes14c818.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.131353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Yes24c809.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8510346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3d…1702backed Yes2c800$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.757851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes4c787.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2817149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes21c700$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4812737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c693.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.132,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes14c652.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.851520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Yes2c636.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4925948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No78c616.18$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6122337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d8…5458backed Yes25c609.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes24c600.7$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.572441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes25c600$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes7c550$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No77c546.48$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.232941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No78c528.02$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa594…1332backed Yes25c527.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes12c478.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8966531.3%208 W · 457 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes13c474$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5128350.9%144 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x619f…43f8backed Yes24c426.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c418.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes21c414.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.78035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Yes3c400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.830439.8%121 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1623…340cbacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes26c395.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5110348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes9c365.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes26c331.72$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1821655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a7…a216backed Yes27c302.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes21c297.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.262714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a58…4890backed Yes8c294.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No77c276.27$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No78c251.63$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes4c250.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes6c242.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes24c242.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.828854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No78c217.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9393…18cfbacked Yes6c190.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…5169backed Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5130%0 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf67c…218abacked Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34151.2%21 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+43.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8533…7c76backed Yes21c141.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf17…3eeebacked Yes26c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.263327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbabd…cdcebacked Yes9c126.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278b…43bfbacked Yes21c120.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.762751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab4…077fbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa871…fea5backed Yes14c115.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes17c112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.236936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…5ecabacked Yes16c101.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0041…967cbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed No75c99.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes24c98.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No74c98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.027647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec67…172fbacked Yes20c96.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b29…2b9dbacked Yes22c91.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.