TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Marie Bouzková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,452 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee11…53c9backed Yes1c19,799$108 inLost-$10823836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c12,607$172 inLost-$171.66524.6%16 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes0c6,001$17 inLost-$17.355416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes1c4,315$40 inLost-$39.88329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes1c4,100$26 inLost-$25.79234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Yes1c3,988$27 inLost-$278022.5%18 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes1c3,418$50 inLost-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid+114.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes1c3,335$37 inLost-$36.963815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdb…8368backed Yes1c2,928$26 inLost-$26.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes1c2,731$40 inLost-$39.843836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes2c2,000$37 inLost-$37.3653043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes1c2,000$14 inLost-$1416529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c1,894$14 inLost-$13.7444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd405…20f2backed Yes1c1,658$15 inLost-$14.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a2…1f75backed Yes1c1,619$15 inLost-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe900…1bcabacked Yes1c1,526$14 inLost-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b42…1b48backed Yes1c1,312$12 inLost-$11.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…6eadbacked Yes1c1,193$11 inLost-$10.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64c…d5febacked Yes1c1,156$10 inLost-$10.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5365…b30abacked Yes1c1,135$10 inLost-$10.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes1c745.59$10 inLost-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes1c718.67$10 inLost-$1019152.4%100 W · 91 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.