TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd22…ad91backed Yes25c100,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed No75c63,490$47,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,872.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes2c30,828$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.87128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+153.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No77c24,749$19,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.5753343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes13c12,993$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.59329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes13c10,047$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.842321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No75c10,000$7,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.978046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes23c9,251$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.735639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes2c7,900$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.06504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No77c5,918$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes6c5,781$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.848226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…0b21backed Yes11c5,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes3c4,752$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5727739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff27…86f9backed Yes1c4,621$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes5c3,455$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.259013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes2c3,360$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5168350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes3c3,140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes24c3,028$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes3c2,976$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756524.6%16 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…622ebacked Yes1c2,468$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Yes3c2,159$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…a31bbacked Yes1c2,108$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb10…f669backed Yes1c2,091$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c2,018$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.572,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf18…17b5backed Yes2c2,009$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8043…121bbacked Yes4c2,009$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes3c2,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.682321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed Yes10c1,770$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.561717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes12c1,732$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3867131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6547…f8b2backed Yes1c1,676$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0be…75e3backed Yes1c1,676$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes19c1,628$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.765129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd0…6477backed Yes4c1,605$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes5c1,592$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes16c1,569$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.082934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes15c1,554$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.671520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…8e69backed Yes4c1,554$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb9…0bc4backed Yes1c1,522$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d8…e8f2backed Yes4c1,362$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No78c1,326$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed No80c1,275$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes17c1,266$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0176546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No75c1,175$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.32580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes26c1,167$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027351.3%140 W · 133 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Yes18c1,103$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d0…9648backed Yes1c1,086$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd315…3edfbacked Yes5c1,042$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33be…adc8backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes4c938$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.918911.2%10 W · 79 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-83.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c928.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0519411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes2c906.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No75c896.02$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.552941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No77c878.99$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.976936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c852.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8522723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b35…8bccbacked Yes18c839.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes10c817.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1244423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes24c800$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.631849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No78c757.95$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c740.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.222550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd88…8f7fbacked Yes5c713.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No80c699.43$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.054652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes23c685.92$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.892147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes26c658.41$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.76837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Yes10c604.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.249966.7%66 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No76c569$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…aa49backed Yes27c541.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd59c…a834backed No77c540$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes24c531$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.69560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes4c509.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f9…677fbacked Yes24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46f…0819backed Yes5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No77c483.5$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.461637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9047…d9edbacked Yes8c446.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Yes9c431.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eda…57e0backed Yes4c426.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes3c425$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.174816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No78c368$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes22c353.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.543842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47b…c715backed Yes8c333.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes16c326.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0737238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes17c302.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010028%28 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f94…d6aabacked Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.880%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes7c276.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No79c271.5$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.181442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes17c250.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No76c244$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.853138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2072…dfe2backed Yes22c240$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes20c236.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Yes18c228.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes7c228.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9393…18cfbacked Yes6c215.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes17c206.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582d…c221backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04df…3e79backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes7c197.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.885127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2246…bf6bbacked Yes26c194.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe465…4e4ebacked Yes17c186.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes9c164$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.