TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes7c14,002$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No76c10,909$8,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.022321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No75c7,835$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.328854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes23c7,494$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.5552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes22c6,143$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32228451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes32c5,559$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.7413853.6%74 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No77c5,000$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.766445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd956…dadabacked Yes23c4,201$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.72425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes18c3,274$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0453043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ed…1374backed Yes29c3,126$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes21c3,120$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No72c2,916$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.275639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c2,909$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.322,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes22c2,895$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.318226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes23c2,639$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5961631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed No76c2,600$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.995129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14db…7cafbacked Yes22c2,366$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes28c2,346$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes28c2,310$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.548710.3%9 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No74c1,983$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0221743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes24c1,983$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes30c1,900$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…03efbacked Yes28c1,772$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No74c1,578$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes26c1,397$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes22c1,389$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027151.3%139 W · 132 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…81f3backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No77c1,357$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.548035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No78c1,330$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…9438backed Yes24c1,258$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes26c1,234$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.242941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes12c1,200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes28c1,108$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2414243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No79c1,091$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.583138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…ea38backed Yes22c1,073$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked No71c1,061$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.41225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe633…3a32backed Yes22c1,035$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes23c1,030$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes22c950$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.886936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes26c950$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.513050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ac…da0bbacked Yes13c938$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9470…8a30backed No78c884.89$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed No73c871.41$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.27329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes24c844.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked No75c816$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked No77c804.88$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes24c741.81$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.964816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002934.5%10 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x96bf…403ebacked No68c688.96$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed No79c686.09$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2810318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…96aebacked Yes22c673.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes27c669.27$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.851637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff6…d1fdbacked Yes23c665$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Yes32c628.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes29c603.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No70c599.42$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce8…22adbacked Yes25c593.44$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes25c575.32$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.522425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes19c545.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.425416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No74c529.58$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes16c513$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.223537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1874…594fbacked Yes17c506.75$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No65c505$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.712737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78eb…9a2bbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes25c499.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes29c494$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.641442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed No74c482.44$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4614849.3%73 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked Yes31c480.77$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c477.85$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.122770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No70c475.19$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff9b…ac64backed Yes22c471.55$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b7…b0b3backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No78c450.71$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b9…6b7cbacked Yes34c448.38$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes22c447.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes34c443.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.59558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…3ee1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1d…6542backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No75c426.21$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.55603.3%2 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-92%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No77c414.11$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.544250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2296…0f83backed Yes22c409.09$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes23c406.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2533134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No76c402.07$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2633650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes31c400$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No78c389.21$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.282147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104e…f419backed No77c387.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes10c387.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…626cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes23c352$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.967850%39 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes23c351.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…850cbacked Yes29c345$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37cf…a390backed Yes19c344.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No58c333.54$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.091,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.