Tennis · resolved market

Will Emma Navarro be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea3ad437126a1c7f0794969350edf5df6c8946cef5dccd267d8aca9e5ff2752

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	1c	19,364$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.88	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9070…e32cbacked Yes	0c	4,566$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	1c	4,270$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	89	11.2%10 W · 79 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Yes	1c	4,121$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	3,313$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	1c	3,081$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	1c	2,992$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes	0c	2,804$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	99	6.1%6 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaab…25cdbacked Yes	3c	2,140$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…41f2backed Yes	3c	1,876$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5a…66d7backed Yes	3c	1,536$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	1c	1,500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	165	29.1%48 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes	1c	1,455$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	+114.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0384…59a0backed Yes	4c	399.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Emma Navarro be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event