TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes19c35,148$6,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,669.68329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e3…aaf2backed Yes52c22,141$11,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,452.82763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes9c15,161$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.4929443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes26c7,780$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes7c6,612$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5831849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes43c6,472$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.7828451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes2c6,301$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Yes4c5,648$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.041225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cc…e2eebacked Yes2c5,560$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.172035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes39c4,474$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.45560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No63c4,300$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.762321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No63c3,958$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No53c3,746$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.484658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c3,719$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.65504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes30c3,523$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.269843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes5c3,406$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.079013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes22c3,070$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4238033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01bb…f429backed Yes3c2,768$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No71c2,752$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No65c2,555$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.948046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c70…a82cbacked Yes1c2,552$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea95…15e6backed Yes1c2,524$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcac…6621backed Yes5c2,500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x673d…1a91backed Yes65c2,475$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703c…62d2backed Yes1c2,463$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes1c2,348$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.095416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes38c2,155$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.562147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes5c2,060$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10329028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d33…7043backed Yes1c2,059$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c64…e2a3backed Yes3c1,902$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…5fadbacked Yes3c1,871$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374f…64acbacked Yes3c1,821$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No58c1,814$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.9863144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc2…80d1backed Yes3c1,804$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf781…fc38backed Yes1c1,775$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa940…31babacked Yes1c1,769$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes37c1,768$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5710348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,761$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.712550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No68c1,742$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14bf…fcacbacked Yes3c1,660$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916b…8347backed Yes1c1,654$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c57…56ffbacked Yes3c1,582$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes8c1,574$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.45639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe503…6ac9backed Yes52c1,533$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdb…8368backed Yes1c1,527$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes29c1,483$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.611931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…c92bbacked Yes3c1,437$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9d…cdf7backed Yes3c1,427$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No74c1,406$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c1,299$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2922723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9d…9b62backed Yes3c1,236$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes22c1,226$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…aae2backed Yes4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504126.8%11 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-52.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c1,188$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.751471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes12c1,181$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaefb…219ebacked Yes3c1,178$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked No40c1,130$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b9…6b7cbacked Yes10c1,106$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes4c1,100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0558…fee1backed Yes3c1,096$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No73c1,091$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.292050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2074…188bbacked Yes3c1,083$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,074$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.922,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes39c1,060$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2561341.8%256 W · 357 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes2c1,046$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c1,025$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6674547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8043…121bbacked Yes16c1,002$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac06…e808backed Yes32c999.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes5c999.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.03234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes19c994$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.798911.2%10 W · 79 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-83.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes2c990.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68f…e9f6backed Yes3c984$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No63c983.23$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No70c950.61$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…319cbacked Yes11c948.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes12c946.27$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.267618.4%14 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Yes42c900$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No67c893.42$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.274652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No67c882.02$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.89742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2905…2affbacked Yes3c881$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes2c853.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-92.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f92…dec0backed Yes56c843.85$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47510445.2%47 W · 57 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56cd…f81abacked Yes3c836$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ef…e76fbacked Yes3c816$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec8…4a47backed Yes3c806$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d25…0d0dbacked Yes3c805$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes1c799.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3717…ae19backed Yes3c793$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes55c783$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.121,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes18c757$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8936839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…f104backed Yes9c756.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8402…2de1backed Yes3c754$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0574…fd94backed Yes3c752$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2bd…f29dbacked Yes3c746$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes12c735.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No63c734.33$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c9…f3dbbacked Yes3c725$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes28c700$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.122344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x687d…6f20backed No69c699.99$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2173060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.