TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,915 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee11…53c9backed Yes0c8,666$26 inLost-$2623836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes0c4,440$13 inLost-$13.32306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-73.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…2266backed Yes0c3,867$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes0c3,450$13 inLost-$13.358710.3%9 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3608…7f93backed Yes1c2,533$25 inLost-$25.33425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick3cpaid+3,025%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe8…fadebacked Yes1c2,437$24 inLost-$24.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa940…31babacked Yes1c2,241$22 inLost-$22.4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c9a…7473backed Yes1c2,188$22 inLost-$21.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fa…44f2backed Yes1c2,167$22 inLost-$21.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbc…37ebbacked Yes1c2,159$22 inLost-$21.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fc…b4c5backed Yes1c1,940$19 inLost-$19.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…6530backed Yes1c1,835$18 inLost-$18.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2caf…6b8dbacked Yes1c1,727$17 inLost-$17.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b22…2ed8backed Yes1c1,685$13 inLost-$13.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6321…7091backed Yes1c1,642$13 inLost-$13.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f7…7242backed Yes1c1,641$13 inLost-$13.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf450…f0f6backed Yes1c1,633$16 inLost-$16.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e51…d1edbacked Yes1c1,524$15 inLost-$15.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe956…59edbacked Yes1c1,501$15 inLost-$15.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa411…1601backed Yes1c1,448$14 inLost-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5789…7fc7backed Yes1c1,325$11 inLost-$10.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes1c1,323$13 inLost-$1327739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…aec6backed Yes1c1,160$12 inLost-$11.640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd405…20f2backed Yes1c1,047$10 inLost-$10.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd4…a3b2backed Yes1c1,046$10 inLost-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.