TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,407 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes1c16,877$116 inLost-$115.523815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes0c10,748$37 inLost-$37.0144423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes1c5,896$31 inLost-$3123836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes0c5,343$24 inLost-$24.46573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…3c17backed Yes0c4,726$20 inLost-$20.340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178b…0355backed Yes1c4,025$40 inLost-$40.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes0c3,280$15 inLost-$14.67828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…fcc3backed Yes1c2,671$27 inLost-$26.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e51…618ebacked Yes1c2,517$23 inLost-$22.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…7735backed Yes1c2,403$24 inLost-$24.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a0…7513backed Yes1c2,010$11 inLost-$11.18338.6%32 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2f…35bbbacked Yes1c1,977$20 inLost-$19.7740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19de…d65fbacked Yes1c1,792$18 inLost-$17.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fa…b3cebacked Yes1c1,772$18 inLost-$17.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,771$20 inLost-$19.892550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ef…1967backed Yes1c1,755$18 inLost-$17.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…cda2backed Yes1c1,690$17 inLost-$16.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a1…62f3backed Yes1c1,575$11 inLost-$11.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…7cdfbacked Yes1c1,487$15 inLost-$14.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfc…2db5backed Yes1c1,466$15 inLost-$14.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd108…958abacked Yes1c1,452$13 inLost-$13.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+594.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8971…2876backed Yes1c1,395$14 inLost-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97dc…082bbacked Yes1c1,365$14 inLost-$13.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64f…14d1backed Yes1c1,294$13 inLost-$12.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Yes1c1,283$11 inLost-$10.6438033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…a18ebacked Yes1c1,273$13 inLost-$12.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…9d7bbacked Yes1c1,235$12 inLost-$12.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc6…cb92backed Yes1c1,073$11 inLost-$10.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.