Tennis · resolved market

Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512cbe8564d13bcb2b4b031aef32e48955becd081f8242ec6807c872fdd84dfd

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $167,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,226 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes	3c	25,962$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.29	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	3cpaid	+153.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes	1c	17,961$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.81	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	1c	10,759$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.57	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,868$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	3,599$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.08	50	4%2 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd108…958abacked Yes	1c	3,530$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	2cpaid	+594.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48c…f3b2backed Yes	1c	3,355$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd547…f892backed Yes	1c	3,092$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	1c	3,070$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-84.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa983…7ab4backed Yes	1c	2,298$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	145	45.5%66 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95f…be7bbacked Yes	2c	2,133$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc1…8187backed Yes	1c	2,089$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes	1c	2,061$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	3c	1,882$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.06	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	1c	1,750$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.37	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	1c	1,700$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	165	29.1%48 W · 117 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	1c	1,679$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7a…a861backed Yes	1c	1,625$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Yes	1c	1,621$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e51…618ebacked Yes	1c	1,516$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Yes	2c	1,473$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	249	31.3%78 W · 171 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	1c	1,398$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d98…6c31backed Yes	1c	1,239$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	1c	1,040$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-92.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2ee4backed Yes	3c	1,026$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-94.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff00…374dbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…5c94backed Yes	3c	997.07$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c7…806ebacked Yes	3c	400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event