TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Clara Tauson be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf40…527abacked Yes1c11,572$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-61.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb131…f0aabacked Yes1c7,100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c4,336$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3510221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84c4…33a3backed Yes3c4,172$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes1c3,649$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ec…543ebacked Yes3c3,374$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b8…cccebacked Yes3c3,112$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d4…aa9fbacked Yes2c2,983$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abc…4b1dbacked Yes3c2,735$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4294…68f4backed Yes3c2,731$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb47…26d3backed Yes1c2,679$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d7…ac65backed Yes2c2,671$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…e988backed Yes4c2,206$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2328…18d6backed Yes3c2,183$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…f9cebacked Yes3c2,181$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e99…3348backed Yes1c2,147$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b6…295dbacked Yes4c2,136$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40af…d8a4backed Yes4c2,111$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6722…be00backed Yes3c2,043$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb395…66aebacked Yes2c2,019$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fb…4a7cbacked Yes4c1,969$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde6…0f4dbacked Yes2c1,910$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd126…38d1backed Yes2c1,868$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbad…683dbacked Yes2c1,794$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd3…8e25backed Yes2c1,789$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0d…2f05backed Yes2c1,764$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1926…f0d3backed Yes2c1,758$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c7…1a08backed Yes3c1,720$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fdd…9592backed Yes4c1,638$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8538…3481backed Yes2c1,566$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…021dbacked Yes1c1,543$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd912…42d3backed Yes2c1,523$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c9…387abacked Yes1c1,520$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x968e…f405backed Yes1c1,516$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b7…32a1backed Yes3c1,452$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1c…0b56backed Yes1c1,437$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb009…a4b2backed Yes1c1,425$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed1…d654backed Yes3c1,421$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0be…75e3backed Yes1c1,420$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…3901backed Yes1c1,417$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4c…1f60backed Yes4c1,402$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…3175backed Yes3c1,385$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75e…83ffbacked Yes3c1,357$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ecd…ffe6backed Yes3c1,343$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda92…a7c6backed Yes1c1,342$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866a…fbaebacked Yes3c1,330$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb9…0bc4backed Yes1c1,321$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e46…d9abbacked Yes1c1,319$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cd…58bcbacked Yes3c1,311$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3720…280dbacked Yes1c1,225$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…23f6backed Yes3c1,210$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a3…a4a8backed Yes2c1,209$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…9d6abacked Yes1c1,202$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f8…914bbacked Yes3c1,198$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…c09abacked Yes3c1,189$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae9…6aaebacked Yes4c1,178$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2caf…6b8dbacked Yes1c1,159$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873d…1651backed Yes4c1,158$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c4d…87a0backed Yes1c1,127$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd044…2e1bbacked Yes4c1,124$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0994…6bd5backed Yes4c1,118$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x619c…2877backed Yes2c1,114$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191d…9d60backed Yes3c1,084$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6563…99bcbacked Yes4c1,084$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8d3…01a0backed Yes1c1,084$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…c6bebacked Yes3c1,081$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d5…e6a9backed Yes3c1,080$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…9598backed Yes1c1,069$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…2bb5backed Yes1c1,059$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cf…745dbacked Yes2c1,018$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x120a…a5d1backed Yes3c1,013$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b0…d3fabacked Yes2c1,012$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb997…78a3backed Yes3c1,010$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…981abacked Yes2c1,007$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb0…25c4backed Yes4c976$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd39e…0618backed Yes4c958$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4333…40a0backed Yes3c946$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b6…de17backed Yes3c942$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ee…0481backed Yes4c939$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefef…3702backed Yes4c925$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…ad3ebacked Yes1c922$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes4c921$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6822337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57a…9c38backed Yes2c918$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…38adbacked Yes3c869$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df3…ea49backed Yes2c859$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd075…4398backed Yes4c851$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e36…a3c0backed Yes3c849$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a53…bcdfbacked Yes2c847$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f2…037ebacked Yes4c838$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1222…9a13backed Yes3c813$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c86…3979backed Yes2c803$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7add…c93bbacked Yes3c792$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0739…b177backed Yes3c789$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…de8dbacked Yes4c784$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe2…4046backed Yes2c784$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab1…c892backed Yes3c776$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9136…b7a2backed Yes3c766$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.