TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$760,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bfb…9109backed Yes7c103,615$7,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,732.11128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+153.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes12c11,361$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.86329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Yes6c11,044$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69029443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes6c7,768$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.881,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes9c5,437$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes17c5,064$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.9552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes9c4,356$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8727739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes9c4,151$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.48226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes7c3,316$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.91828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…ccb6backed Yes20c3,200$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe63c…166bbacked Yes7c2,690$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+588.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes4c2,453$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes18c2,284$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9528451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14db…7cafbacked Yes7c2,237$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes7c2,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14626541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d33…7043backed Yes3c1,838$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes1c1,750$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.65996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5306…ed7dbacked Yes2c1,746$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x301f…c20ebacked Yes3c1,735$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7d…b30ebacked Yes9c1,721$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5270…ad65backed Yes2c1,662$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8484…e327backed Yes3c1,590$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4bf…9ae2backed Yes2c1,588$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes11c1,547$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes8c1,475$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6431749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa524…81d9backed Yes3c1,457$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes7c1,444$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8210348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes9c1,370$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5350%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3e…6be3backed Yes3c1,351$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda38…7401backed Yes2c1,325$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes2c1,320$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.681181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8406…46a5backed Yes3c1,316$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…a99bbacked Yes3c1,316$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c1,312$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.34504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Yes17c1,277$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.964955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c1,266$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.052,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes18c1,247$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes14c1,240$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.91520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…82efbacked Yes2c1,215$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes1c1,175$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.345416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes17c1,166$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes7c1,147$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2923731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0c…298dbacked Yes2c1,114$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes8c1,054$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.998710.3%9 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ac…da0bbacked Yes21c1,043$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Yes5c999.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c937.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8644423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes13c936.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2422337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes7c936.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-73.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf450…f0f6backed Yes2c902$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad8…697cbacked Yes2c833.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes9c814.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.418035%28 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes6c813.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c791.44$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.762,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a58…4890backed Yes10c778.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8b…c39dbacked Yes7c746.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes8c745.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes3c700$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-92.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3d…1702backed Yes8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.37851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes17c626.54$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.59277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes8c619$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…aec6backed Yes2c598$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…9f7bbacked Yes9c584.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f4…6a1ebacked Yes3c570$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes3c560.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes8c559.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.799013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd9…e683backed Yes20c557.85$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes11c556.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.322425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ed…de15backed No76c540$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed Yes5c539.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes8c512.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.24170%0 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f39…921fbacked Yes8c503.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1d…2d6fbacked Yes2c500.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-76.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes9c500.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes17c500$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.943537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes6c491.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes8c451.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.16150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes18c435.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0690%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c431.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.385639.3%22 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…67c3backed Yes7c413.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed Yes18c400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes10c340.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355619.6%11 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No78c329.91$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes7c322.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes10c303.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.28119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-88.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6665…d1efbacked Yes10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-94.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Yes11c263.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.99738.1%37 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…67e1backed Yes7c254.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes6c253.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.343815.8%6 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf2…d272backed Yes10c247.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510335%36 W · 67 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7057…e59cbacked Yes8c245.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes10c237.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.931637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes10c226$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes7c195$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9393…18cfbacked Yes8c190.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes8c181.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0321524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1623…340cbacked Yes8c180.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes17c176.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid+114.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes7c164.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.