TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9393…18cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+420.6%+$1,616.17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.23
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.44
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$39.52
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
France to score first vs. Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Paraguay to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+953.2%+$356.42
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.69
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+27.4%+$5.02
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+274.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$35.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.