Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0a312ce029e9d8f37e0da1822d28ac819a347c4a62a3df3dd52c4d26875acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,241$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.13 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 34c | 2,889$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 2,102$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.71 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 24c | 1,906$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.18 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed No | 70c | 1,715$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 70c | 1,567$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.17 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,425$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…0181backed Yes | 31c | 1,294$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.13 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 63c | 1,254$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.33 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 55c | 1,203$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.85 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 68c | 1,077$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.15 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 66c | 931.23$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.66 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 61c | 661.6$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.88 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…efe0backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 36c | 557.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.57 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 30c | 546.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.71 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 69c | 538$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 69c | 499.77$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 492$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 80c | 491$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 29c | 404.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 34c | 382.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 374.77$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.46 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 31c | 368.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 36c | 349.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 59c | 341.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.19 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 45c | 334.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 307.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 64c | 305.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…f9fabacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…b445backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 66c | 259.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 78c | 220.53$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 75c | 218.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 50c | 196.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 78c | 195.01$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 79c | 193.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 67c | 187.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 157.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…994bbacked No | 64c | 156.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…b521backed No | 64c | 155.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 139.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…1878backed Yes | 37c | 139.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 21c | 133.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 75c | 132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 78c | 116$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 34c | 107.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed No | 64c | 99.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 71c | 97.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 70c | 97.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…266cbacked Yes | 31c | 95.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 70c | 93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 28c | 83.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 37c | 82.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 13c | 78.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 78.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…4c44backed Yes | 32c | 72.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 72.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 66.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…e6cdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 22c | 63.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…836fbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…7225backed Yes | 32c | 61.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 21c | 60.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 53.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…d5d4backed No | 66c | 50.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 33c | 49.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8799…3e97backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 42.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed No | 69c | 41.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…feb3backed No | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 65c | 36.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 63c | 35.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Brazil be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.