Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8137cb76a69398749f04652e77a406d34ef6c4e50559c1999269c60c4f898f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 29c | 3,265$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.18 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 27c | 2,814$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed No | 73c | 2,800$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 41c | 1,450$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.17 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked No | 73c | 1,200$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 28c | 1,107$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.93 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 53c | 950.23$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 65c | 916.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 64c | 890.59$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…4615backed Yes | 33c | 834.45$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…e006backed No | 75c | 791.91$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…db0ebacked Yes | 30c | 677.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 33c | 670.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 601.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6123backed No | 70c | 555$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 30c | 539.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 29c | 523.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…c9ebbacked No | 72c | 495$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 494.75$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 43c | 479.69$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 70c | 411.91$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yes | 28c | 340.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 75c | 275$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154a…86b0backed No | 73c | 235.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 44c | 222.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 221.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 67c | 220.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 78c | 204.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…2f95backed No | 74c | 204.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 71c | 203.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed No | 73c | 203.36$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 56c | 195$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 33c | 185.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 56c | 170.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked No | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 135.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 135.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737b…36e0backed Yes | 28c | 125.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 71c | 114.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 61c | 113.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…6c45backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 28c | 104.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…b0cabacked No | 71c | 99.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 99.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 24c | 96.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…f6c4backed No | 72c | 91.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 86.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 31c | 82.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…fc58backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 56c | 74.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc59b…7849backed Yes | 44c | 74.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 26c | 73.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0949…24b1backed Yes | 27c | 72.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…836fbacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…e34ebacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…8827backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…2352backed Yes | 29c | 68.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…1e0abacked Yes | 47c | 66.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…3cbbbacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 63.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…7778backed No | 75c | 61.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…dbb1backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 67c | 58.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Yes | 32c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748e…f4f2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…a89abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…08a9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…acc7backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 27c | 47.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 36c | 47.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 33c | 42.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…e8b8backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 38.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Brazil be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.