Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6461d2525fb5de884619a07211fe3dc049706b4e23d892b6651f527e781c3090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 27c | 5,185$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.92 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes | 30c | 3,365$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…3c40backed Yes | 35c | 2,910$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 73c | 1,611$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.84 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 72c | 1,446$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.36 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 1,233$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 78c | 1,137$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 72c | 1,105$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.05 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 70c | 899.99$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 74c | 668.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 30c | 547.76$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 69c | 425.42$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 400$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…f9fabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…b445backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 30c | 328.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 77c | 310.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 33c | 305$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 291$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 18c | 207.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 207$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 202.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…f23bbacked Yes | 24c | 196.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 18c | 167.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 75c | 157.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 73c | 121.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 120.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 32c | 110.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 12c | 104.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…2a88backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 99.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 31c | 89.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 28c | 89.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 81.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…e6f6backed Yes | 26c | 78.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…7225backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 24c | 62.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 73c | 60.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 54.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…bf01backed Yes | 30c | 52.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 75c | 44.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 42.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 32.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…523cbacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 71c | 30.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 30.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 79c | 26.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 70c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 71c | 17.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 78c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Brazil be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.