Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ceff70e5f62ccb77f48a46815e2eca7753465a17ab76d19a594920ab591181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 7,478$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…38b3backed Yes | 21c | 6,778$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 4c | 3,537$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 2,847$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 4c | 1,989$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 1,968$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,325$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,272$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 5c | 1,240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Yes | 4c | 1,122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 16c | 850$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 17c | 804.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 4c | 781.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…6f23backed Yes | 13c | 703.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 16c | 700.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 17c | 618.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 18c | 575.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 17c | 514.22$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 4c | 509.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…9de7backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 17c | 497.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…4abebacked Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…7c0bbacked Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 4c | 444$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Yes | 5c | 425.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 4c | 401.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…96abbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 4c | 274.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…8316backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…53ffbacked Yes | 17c | 244.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 76c | 198$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 22c | 189.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…4141backed Yes | 19c | 160.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 17c | 154.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…6115backed Yes | 17c | 148.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…1190backed Yes | 15c | 136.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 18c | 124.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 78c | 121.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…7b52backed Yes | 19c | 106.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 19c | 104.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 25c | 90.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 79c | 79.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…e343backed Yes | 17c | 77.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 30c | 48.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?this page
- France to score first vs. Paraguay?Yes won
- Paraguay to score first vs. France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.